Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 49.8%). Dickinson wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.9% vs Bjugstad 49.9% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 56.3%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 61.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 54.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Dickinson
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dickinson
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Dickinson
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Dickinson
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (503)
50.9% (212)
+1.0%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
40.0% (5)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (111)
44.1% (34)
-3.6%
On power play, Dickinson has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Dickinson is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Dickinson shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Bjugstad
Home
49.0% (345)
52.3% (151)
Away
50.9% (273)
46.0% (100)
By Period
Dickinson
Bjugstad
P1
43.9%
44.9%
P2
57.3%
56.8%
P3
47.2%
48.3%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.3%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
49.8%
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:49 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |