Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 49.4%). Dickinson wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.7% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 61.1%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 61.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 57.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Dickinson
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dickinson
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Dickinson
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Dickinson
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (670)
49.7% (292)
+2.2%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
50.0% (6)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (156)
47.2% (36)
-8.1%
On power play, Dickinson has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Dickinson is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Dickinson shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Bjugstad
Home
48.7% (431)
48.7% (193)
Away
50.7% (404)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Dickinson
Bjugstad
P1
43.4%
41.5%
P2
54.9%
57.3%
P3
49.6%
50.0%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:49 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |