Jason Dickinson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 61.3%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 86.1%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 60.5%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (670)
46.0% (250)
+5.9%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
70.6% (17)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (156)
31.8% (22)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Dickinson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.7% (431)
50.3% (175)
Away
50.7% (404)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
43.4%
48.5%
P2
54.9%
45.9%
P3
49.6%
46.5%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |