Jason Dickinson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Dickinson wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 47.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 74.6%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 69.0%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Dickinson 5-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
5
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,223)
44.9% (8,714)
+4.0%
Power Play
50.0% (136)
50.3% (829)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (845)
37.8% (875)
+3.0%
On even strength, Dickinson has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Dickinson is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,321).
Dickinson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,805).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.4% (2,705)
46.4% (5,318)
Away
45.7% (2,499)
42.9% (5,112)
By Period
Dickinson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.1%
45.1%
P2
48.2%
43.8%
P3
47.3%
45.2%
OT
52.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
47.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 16:11 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:15 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 13, 2021 | OT | 01:13 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |