Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Dickinson wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.5% vs Monahan 52.4% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 67.5%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 81.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 51.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Dickinson
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Dickinson
Monahan
Last 10: Dickinson 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
5
Dickinson
Monahan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
0
Dickinson
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Dickinson
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (695)
52.4% (853)
-0.9%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
58.6% (174)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (210)
46.5% (144)
-4.1%
On power play, Monahan has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Dickinson is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Dickinson shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Monahan
Home
53.6% (489)
53.4% (624)
Away
44.7% (427)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Dickinson
Monahan
P1
47.7%
53.7%
P2
52.1%
52.4%
P3
47.8%
51.6%
OT
83.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
49.5%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 14:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 07:34 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:43 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |