Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.7% vs Monahan 52.5% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 61.0%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 82.5%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 53.2%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Dickinson
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Dickinson
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Dickinson
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Dickinson
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (670)
53.0% (874)
-1.1%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
54.7% (161)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (156)
47.5% (101)
-8.4%
On power play, Dickinson has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Dickinson shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Monahan
Home
48.7% (431)
53.8% (558)
Away
50.7% (404)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Dickinson
Monahan
P1
43.4%
49.5%
P2
54.9%
54.8%
P3
49.6%
52.8%
OT
66.7%
61.9%
Final 5 min
43.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |