Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.6%). Dickinson wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.5% vs Gourde 49.7% (-0.1%)
Offensive zone
Gourde 63.3%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 71.1%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.2%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Dickinson
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (695)
51.2% (469)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
42.9% (21)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (210)
37.5% (48)
+4.9%
On power play, Dickinson has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Dickinson is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Dickinson shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Gourde
Home
53.6% (489)
47.8% (301)
Away
44.7% (427)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Dickinson
Gourde
P1
47.7%
47.3%
P2
52.1%
53.4%
P3
47.8%
48.6%
OT
83.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
49.5%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.6%