Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.7% vs Gourde 46.0% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 66.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 53.3%
Neutral zone
Gourde 66.0%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Dickinson
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dickinson
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Dickinson
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Dickinson
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (670)
47.2% (687)
+4.7%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
45.0% (20)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (156)
33.0% (88)
+6.1%
On power play, Dickinson has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Dickinson shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Gourde
Home
48.7% (431)
44.4% (356)
Away
50.7% (404)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Dickinson
Gourde
P1
43.4%
42.2%
P2
54.9%
50.0%
P3
49.6%
44.5%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |