Scouting Report
Jayson Megna holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Megna wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Megna 51.7% vs Frost 46.2% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 76.5%
Defensive zone
Megna 73.1%
Neutral zone
Frost 56.0%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Megna
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Megna
Frost
Last 5: Megna 2-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Megna
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Megna
2
0
Megna
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Megna
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Megna
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (251)
45.6% (833)
+8.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
46.0% (100)
-46.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
55.6% (18)
-13.3%
On power play, Frost has a +46.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Megna is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Megna shoots right. Frost is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Megna
Frost
Home
50.4% (135)
47.0% (440)
Away
54.2% (144)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Megna
Frost
P1
60.9%
42.5%
P2
51.2%
47.9%
P3
45.7%
46.6%
Final 5 min
57.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
52.3%
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 10:17 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |