Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Megna 49.2% vs Frost 50.6% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 71.0%
Defensive zone
Megna 84.5%
Neutral zone
Megna 56.0%
Result
Jayson Megna favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Megna
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Megna
Frost
Last 5: Megna 2-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Megna
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Megna
2
0
Megna
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Megna
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Megna
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (401)
49.7% (3,652)
-0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
55.4% (632)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
55.0% (40)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Megna is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Megna shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Home / Away
Megna
Frost
Home
49.3% (227)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
48.6% (220)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Megna
Frost
P1
51.7%
51.2%
P2
49.3%
51.3%
P3
46.3%
48.8%
Final 5 min
58.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
49.0%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 10:17 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |