Elias Pettersson vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.0% vs Pageau 55.0% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 53.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 86.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 76.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Pettersson
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pettersson
Pageau
Last 5: Pettersson 3-2 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pettersson
Pageau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (494)
55.8% (1,000)
-11.9%
Power Play
45.7% (35)
56.6% (182)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
51.2% (170)
-5.7%
On even strength, Pageau has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Pettersson is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Pettersson shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Pageau
Home
45.5% (290)
57.1% (674)
Away
42.4% (250)
53.5% (678)
By Period
Pettersson
Pageau
P1
40.2%
56.9%
P2
43.9%
54.5%
P3
48.8%
54.7%
OT
42.9%
52.9%
Final 5 min
37.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
44.1%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |