Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (+12.0%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 66.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 70.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 67.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
47.3% (207)
+12.1%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
100.0% (3)
-31.0%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
33.3% (3)
+26.4%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
Home
58.4% (430)
46.5% (129)
Away
61.0% (559)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
P1
55.4%
51.3%
P2
61.8%
46.1%
P3
61.5%
45.9%
Final 5 min
63.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%