Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 19-12 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 73.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 97.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 94.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 86.9%
86.9%
13.1%
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
12
(31 meetings)
19
12
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Pageau 7-3 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
5
7
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
9
1
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
4
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
49.0% (3,852)
+6.8%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
51.3% (351)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
45.7% (35)
+3.9%
On even strength, Pageau has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Pageau shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,454).
Home / Away
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
Home
56.3% (6,267)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
P1
54.7%
49.9%
P2
56.3%
50.4%
P3
53.5%
47.2%
OT
54.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 17:09 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |