Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Joe Pavelski
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Pavelski 53.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 67.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 75.0%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 50.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Pageau
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Pageau
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Pageau
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
52.3% (560)
+6.5%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
57.5% (113)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
62.5% (16)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Pageau is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Pageau shoots right. Pavelski is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Pageau
Pavelski
Home
59.0% (595)
54.2% (360)
Away
55.7% (661)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Pageau
Pavelski
P1
58.9%
54.5%
P2
57.9%
56.7%
P3
55.6%
50.8%
OT
44.4%
30.8%
Final 5 min
56.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.2%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 08:44 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |