Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Joe Pavelski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.2%). Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Pavelski 54.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 23-16 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 74.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 68.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 53.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Pageau
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
23
(39 meetings)
16
23
Pageau
Pavelski
Last 10: Pageau 5-5 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
9
Pageau
Pavelski
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
11
7
Pageau
Pavelski
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
7
Pageau
Pavelski
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
53.6% (8,791)
+2.2%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
58.2% (2,122)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
50.9% (1,138)
-1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,739).
Pageau shoots right. Pavelski is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,971).
Home / Away
Pageau
Pavelski
Home
56.3% (6,267)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Pageau
Pavelski
P1
54.7%
53.5%
P2
56.3%
55.2%
P3
53.5%
53.9%
OT
54.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 08:44 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 21, 2019 | 3 | 11:44 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |