Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jordan Staal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Staal 54.6% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 71.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 71.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 67.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Pageau
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Pageau
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Pageau
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
56.2% (989)
+3.2%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
66.0% (159)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
42.7% (253)
+17.0%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Pageau
Staal
Home
58.4% (430)
55.4% (699)
Away
61.0% (559)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Pageau
Staal
P1
55.4%
55.7%
P2
61.8%
54.7%
P3
61.5%
53.4%
OT
75.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |