Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jordan Staal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 55.3%). Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 50 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Staal 55.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 58-53 in 111 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 50.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 64.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 59.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Pageau
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
53
-
58
(111 meetings)
53
58
Pageau
Staal
Last 10: Pageau 0-10 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
22
28
Pageau
Staal
50 total
Defensive Zone
Even
15
15
Pageau
Staal
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
16
15
Pageau
Staal
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
55.9% (14,654)
-0.1%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
62.7% (1,762)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
47.9% (2,907)
+1.7%
On power play, Staal has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Pageau shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,583).
Home / Away
Pageau
Staal
Home
56.3% (6,267)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Pageau
Staal
P1
54.7%
55.2%
P2
56.3%
55.9%
P3
53.5%
54.8%
OT
54.4%
56.2%
Final 5 min
53.9%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2023 | OT | 01:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 11:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:11 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 05:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:37 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |