Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Josh Norris
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Norris 49.9% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 60.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 81.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 80.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Pageau
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Pageau
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Norris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
50.5% (388)
+8.9%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
47.6% (84)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
42.9% (7)
+16.8%
On power play, Pageau has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Norris is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Pageau
Norris
Home
58.4% (430)
48.1% (233)
Away
61.0% (559)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Pageau
Norris
P1
55.4%
53.1%
P2
61.8%
49.2%
P3
61.5%
48.4%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |