Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Josh Norris
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Norris 52.1% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 19-18 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 61.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 73.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 52.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Pageau
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
19
(37 meetings)
18
19
Pageau
Norris
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
5
10
Pageau
Norris
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
8
3
Pageau
Norris
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
5
6
Pageau
Norris
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
52.5% (3,089)
+3.3%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
53.4% (412)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
45.4% (240)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Pageau shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,321).
Home / Away
Pageau
Norris
Home
56.3% (6,267)
53.1% (1,896)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Pageau
Norris
P1
54.7%
55.5%
P2
56.3%
51.5%
P3
53.5%
50.1%
OT
54.4%
39.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 12:27 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:18 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:51 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Josh Norris |