Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Kevin Hayes
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +24.1% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Hayes 42.7% (+24.1%)
Offensive zone
Pageau 50.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 81.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 55.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Pageau
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
31.9% (91)
+27.5%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
64.3% (14)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
0.0% (1)
+59.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +59.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Pageau
Hayes
Home
58.4% (430)
30.6% (49)
Away
61.0% (559)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Pageau
Hayes
P1
55.4%
22.9%
P2
61.8%
40.0%
P3
61.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
63.1%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%