Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Kevin Hayes
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 31 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Hayes 47.7% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 39-31 in 70 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 73.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 90.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 87.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 85.9%
85.9%
14.1%
Pageau
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
31
(70 meetings)
39
31
Pageau
Hayes
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
8
7
Pageau
Hayes
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
21
10
Pageau
Hayes
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
10
14
Pageau
Hayes
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
47.5% (6,708)
+8.3%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
51.7% (702)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
45.3% (697)
+4.3%
On even strength, Pageau has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Pageau shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Home / Away
Pageau
Hayes
Home
56.3% (6,267)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Pageau
Hayes
P1
54.7%
47.5%
P2
56.3%
47.6%
P3
53.5%
47.9%
OT
54.4%
54.1%
Final 5 min
53.9%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:57 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:11 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |