Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Lars Eller
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.9% vs Eller 55.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 63.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 55.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 65.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Pageau
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Pageau
Eller
Last 7: Pageau 4-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (715)
56.0% (459)
+3.3%
Power Play
68.3% (41)
77.8% (9)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
51.9% (54)
+7.8%
On power play, Eller has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Pageau is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Pageau shoots right. Eller is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Pageau
Eller
Home
58.1% (418)
52.6% (215)
Away
61.0% (559)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Pageau
Eller
P1
55.3%
54.1%
P2
61.5%
57.6%
P3
61.6%
56.2%
Final 5 min
63.2%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
58.0%▬
59.0%
59.8%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |