Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Lars Eller
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 31 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Eller 50.5% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 63-45 in 108 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 78.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 86.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 83.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Pageau
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
63
-
45
(108 meetings)
63
45
Pageau
Eller
Last 10: Pageau 5-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
20
14
Pageau
Eller
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
20
11
Pageau
Eller
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
23
20
Pageau
Eller
43 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
51.1% (10,321)
+4.7%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
52.8% (621)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
46.6% (1,759)
+3.0%
On even strength, Pageau has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Pageau shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,587).
Home / Away
Pageau
Eller
Home
56.3% (6,267)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Pageau
Eller
P1
54.7%
51.2%
P2
56.3%
50.1%
P3
53.5%
50.2%
OT
54.4%
56.7%
Final 5 min
53.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:20 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:42 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 02:31 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 13:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 04:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |