Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mark Kastelic
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Kastelic 53.5% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 63.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 64.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 53.4%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Pageau
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pageau
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
53.4% (337)
+3.7%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
100.0% (4)
-44.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
75.0% (8)
-27.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Pageau shoots right. Kastelic is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Pageau
Kastelic
Home
57.0% (618)
56.2% (162)
Away
53.9% (607)
52.9% (187)
By Period
Pageau
Kastelic
P1
54.4%
58.2%
P2
61.0%
58.8%
P3
51.0%
45.4%
Final 5 min
53.8%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.4%
Kastelic
62.0%▬
62.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |