Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Matt Duchene
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 53.2% vs Duchene 54.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 85.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 71.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 51.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Pageau
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Pageau
Duchene
Last 6: Pageau 5-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (384)
55.4% (1,013)
-0.5%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
56.3% (192)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (70)
41.2% (17)
+11.7%
On power play, Duchene has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Pageau is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Pageau shoots right. Duchene is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Pageau
Duchene
Home
55.4% (222)
56.2% (642)
Away
52.5% (259)
54.3% (580)
By Period
Pageau
Duchene
P1
55.3%
56.2%
P2
55.2%
56.5%
P3
51.1%
52.9%
OT
66.7%
64.3%
Final 5 min
56.6%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
53.8%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 11:14 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 03:35 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |