Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Matt Duchene
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.2%). Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Duchene 54.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 27-22 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 72.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 74.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 54.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Pageau
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
27
(49 meetings)
22
27
Pageau
Duchene
Last 10: Pageau 5-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
11
Pageau
Duchene
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
15
11
Pageau
Duchene
26 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Pageau
Duchene
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
53.9% (10,438)
+1.9%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
57.0% (1,677)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
49.1% (468)
+0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Pageau shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,518).
Home / Away
Pageau
Duchene
Home
56.3% (6,267)
55.6% (6,430)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
52.7% (6,177)
By Period
Pageau
Duchene
P1
54.7%
54.4%
P2
56.3%
54.5%
P3
53.5%
53.4%
OT
54.4%
56.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |