Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Matthew Poitras
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +21.0% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Poitras shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Poitras 48.3% (+21.0%)
Offensive zone
Poitras 61.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 70.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 57.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Pageau
Poitras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Poitras
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
35.3% (17)
+24.1%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
100.0% (1)
-31.0%
On power play, Poitras has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poitras shoots right. Pageau is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Pageau shoots right. Poitras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (3).
Home / Away
Pageau
Poitras
Home
58.4% (430)
28.6% (7)
Away
61.0% (559)
45.5% (11)
By Period
Pageau
Poitras
P1
55.4%
50.0%
P2
61.8%
33.3%
P3
61.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
38.9%