Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Matthew Poitras
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.7% vs Poitras 45.3% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 76.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 97.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 94.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 95.8%
95.8%
4.2%
Pageau
Poitras
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Pageau
Poitras
Last 8: Pageau 6-2 Poitras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
0
Pageau
Poitras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Poitras
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Poitras
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,301)
43.7% (378)
+12.0%
Power Play
56.8% (989)
55.6% (9)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (2,019)
66.7% (3)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Poitras has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poitras shoots right. Pageau is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,661).
Pageau shoots right. Poitras is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Pageau
Poitras
Home
56.3% (6,136)
43.6% (195)
Away
53.2% (6,173)
44.6% (195)
By Period
Pageau
Poitras
P1
54.7%
41.2%
P2
56.2%
46.0%
P3
53.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Poitras
40.0%▼
45.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |