Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mika Zibanejad
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.9% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 60.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 83.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 77.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Pageau
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Pageau
Zibanejad
Last 7: Pageau 5-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (715)
53.3% (807)
+6.0%
Power Play
68.3% (41)
47.6% (42)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
46.3% (147)
+13.4%
On power play, Pageau has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Pageau is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (257).
Pageau shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Pageau
Zibanejad
Home
58.1% (418)
49.8% (466)
Away
61.0% (559)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Pageau
Zibanejad
P1
55.3%
52.9%
P2
61.5%
51.2%
P3
61.6%
51.7%
OT
75.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
63.2%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
58.0%▬
59.0%
59.8%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:55 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |