Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mika Zibanejad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 30 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 60-59 in 119 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 53.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 78.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 59.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Pageau
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
60
-
59
(119 meetings)
60
59
Pageau
Zibanejad
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
21
30
Pageau
Zibanejad
51 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
17
21
Pageau
Zibanejad
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
22
8
Pageau
Zibanejad
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
50.9% (11,756)
+4.9%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
52.2% (1,852)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
41.6% (1,796)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,739).
Pageau shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,695).
Home / Away
Pageau
Zibanejad
Home
56.3% (6,267)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
Pageau
Zibanejad
P1
54.7%
50.4%
P2
56.3%
49.7%
P3
53.5%
49.9%
OT
54.4%
48.7%
Final 5 min
53.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:55 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:23 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:53 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |