Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mika Zibanejad
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 65.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 73.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 51.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Pageau
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Pageau
Zibanejad
Last 8: Pageau 4-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
3
Pageau
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
50.9% (913)
+6.2%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
59.0% (39)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
37.5% (160)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Pageau shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Pageau
Zibanejad
Home
57.0% (618)
51.1% (536)
Away
53.9% (607)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Pageau
Zibanejad
P1
54.4%
50.1%
P2
61.0%
47.3%
P3
51.0%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.4%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:23 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 18, 2024 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |