Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mikko Rantanen
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Rantanen 47.1% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 58.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 92.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 86.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
Pageau
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Pageau
Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Rantanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Rantanen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
46.3% (309)
+9.5%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
51.3% (39)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
16.7% (6)
+34.5%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Pageau shoots right. Rantanen is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Pageau
Rantanen
Home
57.1% (674)
51.8% (197)
Away
53.5% (678)
39.5% (157)
By Period
Pageau
Rantanen
P1
56.9%
47.2%
P2
54.5%
44.8%
P3
54.7%
46.9%
OT
52.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.3%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 11:19 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 16:32 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |