Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mikko Rantanen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Rantanen 50.8% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Rantanen leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 83.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 93.2%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 50.4%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Pageau
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
12
(23 meetings)
11
12
Pageau
Rantanen
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
10
Pageau
Rantanen
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
0
Pageau
Rantanen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
2
Pageau
Rantanen
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
51.0% (1,525)
+4.8%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
50.8% (486)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
14.3% (7)
+35.3%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +35.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Pageau shoots right. Rantanen is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Pageau
Rantanen
Home
56.3% (6,267)
53.0% (1,067)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
48.3% (951)
By Period
Pageau
Rantanen
P1
54.7%
49.0%
P2
56.3%
51.1%
P3
53.5%
51.9%
OT
54.4%
57.8%
Final 5 min
53.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Rantanen
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 10:56 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:21 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 11:19 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 16:32 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 09:11 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 3 | 04:22 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |