Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Morgan Frost
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 27 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Frost 50.6% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 41-34 in 75 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 50.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 92.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 78.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Pageau
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
34
(75 meetings)
41
34
Pageau
Frost
Last 10: Pageau 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
8
21
Pageau
Frost
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
22
5
Pageau
Frost
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
11
8
Pageau
Frost
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
49.7% (3,652)
+6.1%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
55.4% (632)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
55.0% (40)
-5.4%
On even strength, Pageau has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Pageau shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Home / Away
Pageau
Frost
Home
56.3% (6,267)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Pageau
Frost
P1
54.7%
51.2%
P2
56.3%
51.3%
P3
53.5%
48.8%
OT
54.4%
64.9%
Final 5 min
53.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 15:13 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:38 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 15:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 06:56 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 06:03 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |