Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nick Foligno
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Foligno 52.0% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 53.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 96.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 81.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Pageau
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Pageau
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
53.4% (249)
+3.7%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
53.2% (154)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
40.6% (32)
+7.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Foligno is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Pageau
Foligno
Home
57.0% (618)
57.3% (225)
Away
53.9% (607)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Pageau
Foligno
P1
54.4%
53.0%
P2
61.0%
51.8%
P3
51.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
53.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.4%
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 02:38 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |