Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nick Foligno
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Foligno 49.9% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 68.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 71.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 80.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Pageau
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pageau
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
49.5% (291)
+9.9%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
55.8% (43)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
47.2% (53)
+12.5%
On power play, Pageau has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Foligno is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Pageau
Foligno
Home
58.4% (430)
48.9% (178)
Away
61.0% (559)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Pageau
Foligno
P1
55.4%
43.0%
P2
61.8%
55.9%
P3
61.5%
50.0%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
63.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:33 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |