Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nick Foligno
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Foligno 49.4% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 67.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 77.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 79.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Pageau
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pageau
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (502)
49.3% (215)
+9.9%
Power Play
69.6% (23)
57.1% (35)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
61.3% (163)
41.9% (43)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Pageau is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Pageau shoots right. Foligno is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Pageau
Foligno
Home
59.5% (299)
47.5% (158)
Away
60.4% (389)
51.1% (135)
By Period
Pageau
Foligno
P1
55.3%
42.7%
P2
62.2%
51.4%
P3
61.1%
51.9%
OT
80.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
62.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
60.0%
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:33 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |