Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nick Paul
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Paul 52.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 28-17 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 72.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 89.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 82.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Pageau
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
17
(45 meetings)
28
17
Pageau
Paul
Last 10: Pageau 7-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
13
7
Pageau
Paul
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
10
3
Pageau
Paul
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
5
7
Pageau
Paul
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
52.6% (3,823)
+3.2%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
56.2% (484)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
46.9% (576)
+2.7%
On even strength, Pageau has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Pageau shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,791).
Home / Away
Pageau
Paul
Home
56.3% (6,267)
52.8% (2,445)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Pageau
Paul
P1
54.7%
53.8%
P2
56.3%
51.0%
P3
53.5%
52.2%
OT
54.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 10:57 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 06:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 03:47 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Nick Paul |