Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Noah Cates
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Cates 45.8% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 63.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 86.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 74.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Pageau
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Pageau
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Cates
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
44.3% (271)
+12.8%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
77.8% (18)
-22.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
31.7% (41)
+16.3%
On power play, Cates has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Cates is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Pageau
Cates
Home
57.0% (618)
52.0% (148)
Away
53.9% (607)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Pageau
Cates
P1
54.4%
42.7%
P2
61.0%
42.9%
P3
51.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
55.4%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 14:18 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |