Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Robert Thomas
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Thomas 51.9% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 59.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 83.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 78.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Pageau
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Pageau
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
50.3% (652)
+9.1%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
61.5% (104)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
54.2% (120)
+5.5%
On even strength, Pageau has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Pageau is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Pageau shoots right. Thomas is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Pageau
Thomas
Home
58.4% (430)
52.0% (400)
Away
61.0% (559)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Pageau
Thomas
P1
55.4%
49.6%
P2
61.8%
55.4%
P3
61.5%
51.0%
OT
75.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
63.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:30 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |