Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Robert Thomas
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 30 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Thomas 51.6% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 40-21 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 74.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 95.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 86.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Pageau
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
21
(61 meetings)
40
21
Pageau
Thomas
Last 10: Pageau 7-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
5
10
Pageau
Thomas
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
25
5
Pageau
Thomas
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
10
6
Pageau
Thomas
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
51.1% (5,387)
+4.7%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
55.8% (927)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
50.2% (697)
-0.6%
On even strength, Pageau has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,739).
Pageau shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,044).
Home / Away
Pageau
Thomas
Home
56.3% (6,267)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
52.3% (3,527)
By Period
Pageau
Thomas
P1
54.7%
50.7%
P2
56.3%
53.0%
P3
53.5%
50.8%
OT
54.4%
59.2%
Final 5 min
53.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:30 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:44 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 02:00 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:46 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 06:33 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |