Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Robert Thomas

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 30 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pageau 54.8% vs Thomas 51.6% (+3.3%)
H2H factor Pageau leads 40-21 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone Pageau 74.0%
Defensive zone Pageau 95.4%
Neutral zone Pageau 86.0%
Result Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Pageau Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
40 - 21 (61 meetings)
40
21
Pageau Thomas
Last 10: Pageau 7-3 Thomas

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
5
10
Pageau Thomas
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
25
5
Pageau Thomas
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
10
6
Pageau Thomas
16 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pageau
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
51.1% (5,387)
+4.7%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
55.8% (927)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
50.2% (697)
-0.6%
On even strength, Pageau has a +4.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,739).
Pageau shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,044).
Home / Away
Pageau
Thomas
Home
56.3% (6,267)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
52.3% (3,527)
By Period
Pageau
Thomas
P1
54.7%
50.7%
P2
56.3%
53.0%
P3
53.5%
50.8%
OT
54.4%
59.2%
Final 5 min
53.9%
53.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%
60.0%
54.9%
Thomas
56.0%
47.5%
51.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 22, 2025 3 16:40 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 22, 2025 3 09:30 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 22, 2025 2 15:39 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 22, 2025 1 17:30 Offensive Robert Thomas
Nov 23, 2024 2 00:00 Neutral Robert Thomas
Nov 23, 2024 1 14:03 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 23, 2024 1 09:44 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Oct 17, 2024 3 10:20 Offensive Robert Thomas
Oct 17, 2024 2 19:52 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Oct 17, 2024 2 16:56 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Oct 17, 2024 1 14:32 Defensive Robert Thomas
Mar 5, 2024 3 16:37 Offensive Robert Thomas
Mar 5, 2024 3 02:00 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Mar 5, 2024 3 00:00 Neutral Robert Thomas
Mar 5, 2024 2 00:00 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Mar 5, 2024 1 15:49 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Mar 5, 2024 1 15:46 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Mar 5, 2024 1 06:33 Offensive Robert Thomas
Mar 5, 2024 1 03:08 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Mar 5, 2024 1 00:09 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau