Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Donato
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Donato 44.7% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 56.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 89.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 75.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Pageau
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Pageau
Donato
Last 10: Pageau 4-6 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
2
4
Pageau
Donato
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Donato
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
2
Pageau
Donato
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,514)
44.0% (1,218)
+11.8%
Power Play
57.0% (1,007)
46.0% (248)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
41.7% (12)
+7.9%
On even strength, Pageau has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,864).
Pageau shoots right. Donato is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Home / Away
Pageau
Donato
Home
56.3% (6,255)
47.2% (743)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
41.4% (735)
By Period
Pageau
Donato
P1
54.7%
43.8%
P2
56.3%
44.9%
P3
53.5%
43.7%
OT
54.4%
70.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
58.0%▬
59.0%
54.8%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 12:58 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 12:46 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 18:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |