Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Pageau
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pageau
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
50.3% (479)
+9.3%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
50.0% (28)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
30.0% (50)
+26.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Pageau
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
59.3% (506)
48.9% (270)
Away
60.0% (482)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Pageau
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
56.8%
48.7%
P2
64.4%
50.0%
P3
56.9%
47.3%
OT
75.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
61.1%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
59.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:40 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |