Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Poehling
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Poehling 48.0% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 80.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 52.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 71.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Pageau
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Pageau
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
50.4% (680)
+9.0%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
58.3% (12)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
38.8% (219)
+20.9%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Poehling is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Pageau
Poehling
Home
58.4% (430)
47.4% (422)
Away
61.0% (559)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Pageau
Poehling
P1
55.4%
53.3%
P2
61.8%
40.3%
P3
61.5%
50.0%
OT
75.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |