Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Poehling
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Poehling 48.3% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 92.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 87.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 88.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Pageau
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Pageau
Poehling
Last 10: Pageau 8-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Pageau
Poehling
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
8
0
Pageau
Poehling
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
4
Pageau
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
49.6% (2,780)
+6.2%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
51.6% (93)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
41.7% (635)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Pageau shoots right. Poehling is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,151).
Home / Away
Pageau
Poehling
Home
56.3% (6,267)
49.3% (1,706)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Pageau
Poehling
P1
54.7%
50.8%
P2
56.3%
47.1%
P3
53.5%
47.2%
OT
54.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 18:10 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 25, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |