Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sam Lafferty
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Lafferty 50.0% (+9.9%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 57.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 65.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 55.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Pageau
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
50.0% (46)
+9.4%
On even strength, Pageau has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Pageau is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Pageau shoots right. Lafferty is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Pageau
Lafferty
Home
58.4% (430)
47.8% (23)
Away
61.0% (559)
52.2% (23)
By Period
Pageau
Lafferty
P1
55.4%
53.3%
P2
61.8%
55.6%
P3
61.5%
42.9%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.0%