Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sam Lafferty
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Lafferty 47.5% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 75.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 66.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 74.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Pageau
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Pageau
Lafferty
Last 9: Pageau 5-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Lafferty
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
3
4
Pageau
Lafferty
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
47.9% (1,417)
+7.9%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
45.7% (46)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
43.5% (184)
+6.1%
On power play, Pageau has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,739).
Pageau shoots right. Lafferty is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Pageau
Lafferty
Home
56.3% (6,267)
47.3% (833)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
47.4% (814)
By Period
Pageau
Lafferty
P1
54.7%
49.4%
P2
56.3%
43.1%
P3
53.5%
49.6%
OT
54.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 05:32 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 05:30 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 17:17 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |