Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sean Kuraly
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Kuraly 51.0% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 77.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 50.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 75.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Pageau
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Pageau
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
52.6% (464)
+6.8%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
100.0% (1)
-31.0%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
46.5% (155)
+13.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Pageau
Kuraly
Home
58.4% (430)
55.9% (322)
Away
61.0% (559)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Pageau
Kuraly
P1
55.4%
55.9%
P2
61.8%
46.7%
P3
61.5%
50.7%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |