Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sean Kuraly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 24 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Kuraly 50.4% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 32-25 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 92.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 74.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 84.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 84.5%
84.5%
15.5%
Pageau
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
25
(57 meetings)
32
25
Pageau
Kuraly
Last 10: Pageau 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
21
3
Pageau
Kuraly
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
15
Pageau
Kuraly
19 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Pageau
Kuraly
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
51.6% (5,161)
+4.2%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
56.4% (101)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
44.4% (1,091)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Pageau shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,235).
Home / Away
Pageau
Kuraly
Home
56.3% (6,267)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Pageau
Kuraly
P1
54.7%
51.2%
P2
56.3%
50.0%
P3
53.5%
50.2%
OT
54.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 03:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:22 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:03 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |