Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sean Monahan
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Monahan 52.5% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 72.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 93.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 87.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 87.2%
87.2%
12.8%
Pageau
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Pageau
Monahan
Last 10: Pageau 7-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
3
Pageau
Monahan
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
2
Pageau
Monahan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
53.0% (874)
+6.4%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
54.7% (161)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
47.5% (101)
+12.2%
On power play, Pageau has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Pageau
Monahan
Home
58.4% (430)
53.8% (558)
Away
61.0% (559)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Pageau
Monahan
P1
55.4%
49.5%
P2
61.8%
54.8%
P3
61.5%
52.8%
OT
75.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
63.1%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 02:30 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |