Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sean Monahan
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 44 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Monahan 51.2% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 66-55 in 121 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 51.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 89.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 73.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Pageau
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
66
-
55
(121 meetings)
66
55
Pageau
Monahan
Last 10: Pageau 7-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
8
31
Pageau
Monahan
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
36
8
Pageau
Monahan
44 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
22
16
Pageau
Monahan
38 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
51.1% (11,407)
+4.7%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
53.6% (2,582)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
45.9% (772)
+3.7%
On even strength, Pageau has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Pageau shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Pageau
Monahan
Home
56.3% (6,267)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Pageau
Monahan
P1
54.7%
51.0%
P2
56.3%
51.7%
P3
53.5%
51.0%
OT
54.4%
53.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 02:30 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |