Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Seth Jarvis
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +18.6% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Jarvis 46.3% (+18.6%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 68.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 75.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 54.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Pageau
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
42.6% (54)
+16.8%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
33.3% (6)
+35.7%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
40.0% (15)
+19.7%
On power play, Pageau has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Pageau is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Pageau shoots right. Jarvis is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
Pageau
Jarvis
Home
58.4% (430)
43.6% (39)
Away
61.0% (559)
38.9% (36)
By Period
Pageau
Jarvis
P1
55.4%
36.0%
P2
61.8%
48.3%
P3
61.5%
36.8%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
23.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%